BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
FAQ |
The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Jacksonville State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Jacksonville State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
28.09 |
29.40 (+1.31) |
39.33 |
33.77 (-5.57) |
32.67 (-1.09) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
397.91 |
349.76 (-48.15) |
419.17 |
368.15 (-51.02) |
363.55 (-4.60) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.53 |
5.09 (-0.43) |
6.37 |
5.51 (-0.86) |
5.41 (-0.10) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.91 |
23.93 (+2.02) |
30.83 |
36.89 (+6.05) |
33.65 (-3.24) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
371.00 |
415.88 (+44.88) |
376.17 |
450.10 (+73.93) |
441.55 (-8.55) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.94 |
5.19 (+0.25) |
5.68 |
6.58 (+0.90) |
6.23 (-0.35) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +0.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Coastal Carolina |
33.49 |
37.10 |
+3.62 |
70.59 |
44.20% |
L 27-55 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Louisville |
19.94 |
45.76 |
+25.81 |
65.70 |
8.60% |
L 14-49 |
0-2 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Eastern Michigan |
44.48 |
31.13 |
-13.35 |
75.61 |
71.42% |
L 34-37 |
0-3 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Southern Miss |
44.24 |
13.27 |
-30.97 |
57.50 |
99.67% |
W 44-7 |
1-3 |
| 2024-10-04 |
@Kennesaw State |
48.04 |
19.22 |
-28.82 |
67.26 |
96.23% |
W 63-24 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-09 |
New Mexico State |
42.21 |
21.46 |
-20.75 |
63.67 |
83.28% |
W 54-13 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-23 |
Middle Tennessee |
46.65 |
25.94 |
-20.70 |
72.59 |
83.20% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-30 |
@Liberty |
30.30 |
37.40 |
+7.10 |
67.69 |
38.62% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Louisiana Tech |
39.10 |
28.38 |
-10.72 |
67.48 |
67.19% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Florida International |
34.94 |
29.38 |
-5.56 |
64.32 |
58.92% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Sam Houston |
31.35 |
34.02 |
+2.67 |
65.38 |
45.72% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Western Kentucky |
37.40 |
35.18 |
-2.22 |
72.58 |
53.56% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
0.34% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
3.92% |
0.34% |
99.66% |
| 5-7 |
15.62% |
4.25% |
95.75% |
| 6-6 |
30.31% |
19.88% |
80.12% |
| 7-5 |
30.86% |
50.19% |
49.81% |
| 8-4 |
15.87% |
81.05% |
18.95% |
| 9-3 |
3.08% |
96.92% |
3.08% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.02% |
| 3-9 |
0.20% |
| 4-8 |
1.54% |
| 5-7 |
6.27% |
| 6-6 |
15.80% |
| 7-5 |
25.20% |
| 8-4 |
26.33% |
| 9-3 |
16.93% |
| 10-2 |
6.49% |
| 11-1 |
1.17% |
| 12-0 |
0.06% |